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Simpson's paradox is pretty unintutive which is why our "Fast" brain [0] jumps to conclusions. Its only when you do the math by including group probabilities wh
by seesawtron 6y ago
Simpson's paradox is pretty unintutive which is why our "Fast" brain [0] jumps to conclusions. Its only when you do the math by including group probabilities when averaging using "Slow" brain [0] that you get to see the flaw.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thinking,_Fast_and_Slow https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thinking,_Fast_and_Slow