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It's in the article - they were worried about hospitals having insufficient capacity to deal with covid19 patients. An excellent case study on why overly pessi
by usaar333 6y ago
It's in the article - they were worried about hospitals having insufficient capacity to deal with covid19 patients.
An excellent case study on why overly pessimistic models not only lead to high economic cost, but also a cost in lives.
- Gibbon1 6y agoYour comment is an excellent example of hindsight bias.
- usaar333 6y agoNYC/NJ modeling is forgivable. California's is not. (https://www.mercurynews.com/coronavirus-how-can-the-states-model-project-possibly-thousands-of-deaths-in-bay-area-by-june https://www.mercurynews.com/coronavirus-how-can-the-states-m...)
- Gibbon1 6y agoYou're bagging on California for being proactive and not ending up like and NYC/NJ.
- redis_mlc 6y agoGibbon1 is correct, the CA numbers have been overly pessimistic for months, evident in that the Santa Clara dashboard has been flat for months and at no point in crisis. At some point the responsible thing to do is to use a more accurate model, but that's not what's happening. Newsom plans to run for President, so it's hard to believe anything he says, doubly so with the incorrect stats available.
- thejynxed 6y agoNewsome will get absolutely dragged about that high-speed rail system from nowhere to nowhere and what really happened to all of that money.
- redis_mlc 6y agoNobody cares about the train directly. Public transit in the US is just to free up more roads for drivers. The only good thing I can say about the proposed rail system so far is that both San Jose and SF have "terminals" for it, so it could be built more quickly in the future. When I was looking at the US fatal accident rate recently (about 37,000/year), what struck me was that it was basically 1 fatality per accident (ie. Americans really do drive sole occupant trips.)