3 ms·
The current CDC "best estimate" is ~0.4%, assuming an R0 of 2.5, with estimates of ~0.2% if the R0 is actual ~2 in the US and ~1% if the R0 is actually 3.
by saalweachter 6y ago
The current CDC "best estimate" is ~0.4%, assuming an R0 of 2.5, with estimates of ~0.2% if the R0 is actual ~2 in the US and ~1% if the R0 is actually 3.
- throwaway894345 6y agoPretty sure that 0.4% is "among people who develop symptoms" and 35% of infections are asymptomatic. So 0.4% of 65% of infections, or ~0.26% of infections. [0]: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scena...
- saalweachter 6y agoThanks for the correction; everyone else, ignore what I wrote one post up. (It's a shame HN doesn't support strike-through; that is my preferred way to retract a post without just deleting it in shame.)
- throwaway894345 6y agoNo problem. This stuff is all very nuanced and rapidly changing. It's hard not to make a mistake.