4 ms·
Exactly. The odds are not what I'd like them to be.
by randomsearch 6y ago
Exactly. The odds are not what I'd like them to be.
- albntomat0 6y agoWhile I agree the risks are higher than Soyuz, there has to be an acceptable risk threshold, in order to build the safety record of a new platform. Both the Saturn 5 and Space Shuttle had far fewer unmanned launches than Dragon, before the first manned flight. The Soyuz booster started as an ICBM, and thus has a harder to compare track record. Here's a graphic for the booster family historically: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_R-7_launches https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_R-7_launches
- nickik 6y agoSo, never flying on new vehicle or flying a vehicle uncrewed for 40 years is the only option you consider save? That seems like incredible pessimism to me.
- randomsearch 6y agoMaybe somewhere between those two extremes.