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How can a statement about the future be empirically wrong?
by 2019-nCoV 6y ago
How can a statement about the future be empirically wrong?
- Loughla 6y agoI don't know what that even means. We're talking about facts established by research, indicating they have occurred in the past. I don't know what you're talking about.
- 2019-nCoV 6y agoNo, we're talking about an election in the future that hasn't happened yet.
- catalogia 6y agoTomorrow gravity is going to reverse and fling you into the sun.
- GenerocUsername 6y agoIf gravity were reversed you would actually be flung away from the sun. I ask you to please be correct and factual at all times. This is a discussion on the internet after all.
- catalogia 6y agoI see you understand.
- x86_64Ubuntu 6y agoSo if the president says "The sun won't rise tomorrow", we can't reject that statement out of hand?
- 2019-nCoV 6y agoYou'd be wise too, but you wouldn't be rejecting it empirically.
- sergiosgc 6y agoEasy. A "statement" can't be wrong, but a "prediction" of the future must be built on a predictive model that has worked in the past, and the model must be fed parameters rooted in reality. Failing that, it is wrong. If Trump's statement about fraud is not predictive, then it is fiction and meaningless instead of wrong.
- koheripbal 6y agoIf all policitians' twitter accounts required that all their statements submitted a "predictive model" to reinforce their tweet - then at least your argument would make logical sense. In this case, it just seems like Twitter disagrees with him. They aren't really arguing facts.
- sergiosgc 6y agoI did not mention Twitter's actions. They are not relevant for my analysis. Having said that, the comparative fairness argument supports a status quo that rewards bombastic discourse, at the expense of truthfulness. We now know it is socially pernicious.
- 13415 6y agoYou wait long enough and then check whether the prediction was true? If not, the prediction was false.