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Hybrids are a gateway. I view them as in the same category as pure EVs, only "earlier technology". I own a hybrid, and I'm 90% sure my next car will be pure EV
by sergiosgc 6y ago
Hybrids are a gateway. I view them as in the same category as pure EVs, only "earlier technology". I own a hybrid, and I'm 90% sure my next car will be pure EV (3 years from now). I don't know any hybrid owner planning to ditch the electric motor on the next purchase, and know several planning to ditch the combustion engine on the next car.
- ChuckNorris89 6y agoYes, I agree with your point but this doesn't address your previous argument that a 4.6% market share in 2019 of hybrids and EVs combined out of which maybe 2% pure EV will result in a market dominance of pure EVs in 5 to 8 years. Such an exponential growth is no way possible in such a short time no matter how much you love EVs. Hybrids are easy to justify buying as you don't depend on charging infrastructure or lack thereof but once you switch to pure EV that becomes your bottleneck which rules out drivers who don't have chargers available at their home or at work or who want to drive long distances on vacations with family or who don't have too much money to spend on a car.
- sergiosgc 6y agoI do not entirely disagree with you, I just don't have your certainty of the outcome. Predicting non-linear curves is next to impossible. A tiny movement in the beginning of the curve produces wildly different results. What I stated is different: 5-8 years for the market flipping towards EVs is _plausible_. In other words, I can't prove with certainty that the market will flip, but I wouldn't bet on the contrary.