3 ms·
Considering that that's roughly the population fatality rate in NYC, and significantly less than than the population fatality rate in Bergamo province, that see
by cozzyd 6y ago
Considering that that's roughly the population fatality rate in NYC, and significantly less than than the population fatality rate in Bergamo province, that seems unlikely.
Is the methodology available somewhere? Scenario 5 looks suspiciously like the geometric average of 0.2 and 1...
- rogerkirkness 6y agoPFR in Italy based on one of the oldest populations in the world, with the worst NOx pollution in the world because of the mountains and industry, without controlling for confounding reasons for dying (e.g. all severe cases that hit the hospital counted and all mild cases that don't aren't).
- cozzyd 6y agoThe population fatality rate in Bergamo is based on the total number of COVID deaths (estimated from excess mortality) and the total population. See https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.15.20067074v3 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.15.20067074v...