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My gut feel is the same. Ironically, the fact that this usage sounds wrong might, in fact, be a paradox :) It’s an apparent contradiction between our understan
by mokus 6y ago
My gut feel is the same. Ironically, the fact that this usage sounds wrong might, in fact, be a paradox :)
It’s an apparent contradiction between our understanding of the meaning of the word and the actual usage of the word. The resolution of this paradox could be that there is widespread wrong usage of the word. Alternately it could be that our understanding of the meaning is wrong - which itself could be for multiple reasons. Perhaps our understanding of the definition is incomplete. Or it could be that the definition itself is simply wrong because it doesn’t reflect actual real-world usage.
Upon some reflection I think that a core part of the idea of a paradox is that there are many possible solutions to a problem and that some people, but almost certainly not all, will initially fail to even recognize the existence of solutions other than the one they expect, due to unconscious assumptions.
Naturally in many cases there will also be people who do not make those problematic assumptions to begin with, but that doesn’t on its own invalidate the use of the word “paradox” in that situation. The birthday paradox probably fits this definition just fine - ask anyone not trained in statistics about the subject and you’ll likely find a lot of people have unconscious assumptions that lead them to wrong answers, and in some cases thy will even be exceptionally confident in their wrong answers.
You might object to the “not trained in statistics” part but that objection itself would be circular - modern statistics education was designed with paradoxes like this in mind, specifically to lay down a foundation that doesn’t lead you down the wrong paths in cases like that. The solutions to the basic paradoxes of statistics are built into the way statistics is taught, just like the solutions to Godel’s and Russel’s and many others’ paradoxes are built into the foundations of any modern logical system.