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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_and_radiation_accidents http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_and_radiation_accidents Look at how many accidents there have
by ernestipark 16y ago
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_and_radiation_accidents http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_and_radiation_accidents
Look at how many accidents there have been since 1961. That's in the world, total. Only a few of those actually resulted in radiation being released to the environment. Nuclear power is unbelievably safe. Think about what it would take to replace the amount of nuclear energy being produced in the world now. Just a guess of course, but I think the butterfly effects of getting rid of nuclear power would be even worse than if there were some sort of catastrophic failure in Japan right now. It's not as simple as "nuclear energy in an accident would be catastrophic, let's replace it with clean alternatives". There are many many other factors at play.
- svedlin 16y agoHistorical analysis doesn't have enough comparable data points and there are significant failures on record. How many times has a reactor been hit with an 8.9 magnitude earthquake and a tsunami? There's only 1 data point. Historical and simulation models both have large negative expected value (unless you can rule out a black swan event with a miniscule probability at around 10^-8 - unattainable certainty with current analysis).