Occams Razor is not about the likelihood of a theory being true. It says that out of two theories which both explain observations you should chose the simpler.

Occams Razor is not about the likelihood of a theory being true. It says that out of two theories which both explain observations you should chose the simpler. It is not a statement about the world, it is a principle of economy of thought. According to the logical positivist, two theories which explain the same outcome are equally true. Believing that one theory could be "more true" despite both predicting the same outcome is basically religion, since you are believing in some metaphysical "objective truth" beyond observation.