3 ms·
Agree. New York fatalities are already at .3% of the population (estimating population at 8.39 million and deaths at 23k). Antibody estimates are that only ~20
by svaha1728 6y ago
Agree. New York fatalities are already at .3% of the population (estimating population at 8.39 million and deaths at 23k). Antibody estimates are that only ~20% were infected.
- odkamkfn 6y agoAre infections spread out across a representative sample of the population? Is the population of New York (in terms of genetic makeup, behavior, underlying conditions etc) match that of the rest of the world? I realize that this site is filled with autists who believe they can solve everything with a clean, simple model (the less lines of code the better, right?), but reality is a fucking mess. All models are not even wrong.
- elcritch 6y agoNY really appears to be an outlier for the US. An IFR of roughly 1.4% does appear more inline with that for older sicker populations. There may also be other factors such as a more deadly viral strain, older population vs the rest of the US, genetic makeup of the population being more prone to covid-19, or differences in healthcare access and or application. It really seems the fatality rate for covid-19 is bi-modal. Recognizing that seems critical to putting resources into finding the underlying reasons to respond with correct solutions for any given area.