3 ms·

Also NYT: Original study forecast 2.2 million deaths. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/17/world/europe/coronavirus-imperial-college-johnson.html https://www.ny

• happytoexplain 6y ago
  I don't understand what you're saying - did that study not exist?
  • RickJWagner 6y ago
    I'm saying the death count is much lower than originally expected.
    • gremlinsinc 6y ago
      Good thing everybody who's going to get this has already gotten it, and all death has stopped, right. /s I mean seriously it's been like 2.5 months. We have 2 million confirmed cases nation-wide and that is WITH social distancing. We've never social distanced for the common flu, and the average death is like 40k/year. If you extrapolate that for every 3 million cases reported/tested positive you get 100k deaths, then when we get to 30 million cases that's 1 million deaths. 60 million cases and it's 2 million deaths. The second wave of the spanish flu was WAY deadlier and terrible than the first wave. I don't doubt the same will happen this time around. That's like saying in June, eh we've only had 1 hurricane, the hurricane season for 2020 was great, we only had 1 hurricane...with 3-4 months left in hurricane season. We've literally got like 2-3 years left in coronavirus 'season' (until there's better treatments/vaccines/plans in place).