I think the point the parent was making is that many of the people who died in the last 2 months would likely have died in the next year anyway - so although th

I think the point the parent was making is that many of the people who died in the last 2 months would likely have died in the next year anyway - so although there's clearly high numbers of excess deaths today, we may actually find that many of those deaths are just brought forward by 6 months. We won't know whether that's true for years though.