3 ms·
Show me numbers, please. Calculate, how many lives are already saved and will be saved in future by nuclear reactors in comparison to other sources of energy.
by vlisivka 16y ago
Show me numbers, please.
Calculate, how many lives are already saved and will be saved in future by nuclear reactors in comparison to other sources of energy. Calculate how many lives will be lost in worstests scenarios. Multiple number by probability and sum up.
For example:
* nuclear reactor can save 1000 lives per year in 100 years of it life with 0.9999 probability;
* in worstest case, with 0.0001 probability, it can kill 10000 humans per year in 1000 years.
Result: 1000⋅100⋅0,9999 + −10000⋅1000⋅0,0001 = 98,99E3
0,0001 probability is too optimistic - we already have Chernobyl and few other smaller nuclear disasters while number of nuclear stations is much smaller than 1K.
- splitrocket 16y agohttp://nextbigfuture.com/2008/03/deaths-per-twh-for-all-energy-sources.html http://nextbigfuture.com/2008/03/deaths-per-twh-for-all-ener... Energy Source Death Rate (deaths per TWh) Coal – world average 161 (26% of world energy, 50% of electricity) Coal – China 278 Coal – USA 15 Oil 36 (36% of world energy) Natural Gas 4 (21% of world energy) Biofuel/Biomass 12 Peat 12 Solar (rooftop) 0.44 (less than 0.1% of world energy) Wind 0.15 (less than 1% of world energy) Hydro 0.10 (europe death rate, 2.2% of world energy) Hydro - world including Banqiao) 1.4 (about 2500 TWh/yr and 171,000 Banqiao dead) Nuclear 0.04 (5.9% of world energy)
- vlisivka 16y agoYou are mismatched statistic with risk analysis. I asking for summary of risks multiplied by their effects. PS. If something will blow up our Earth, it will be even safer than nuclear energy! (If we calculate number of deaths per TWh).