2) and 3) are very simplistic predictions and we don’t have any idea if it has a higher chance to go that way. For instance an effect of UBI would be disappear

2) and 3) are very simplistic predictions and we don’t have any idea if it has a higher chance to go that way. For instance an effect of UBI would be disappearance of bullshit jobs. A lot of job won’t see wages increase and will just be automated/optimized away instead. OTOH it could mean getting rid of minimum salary, which would lower the cost for high demand/vocational low paying work for instance (dog walking, cafe staff, event staff etc.) All in all I’m not sure it’s as simple as saying “people have money without working = prices go up”