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Both can be true – roads can be more lethal on a per-mile-traveled (or per-minute traveled) basis, but with many fewer miles/minutes traveled overall, total cum
by whafro 6y ago
Both can be true – roads can be more lethal on a per-mile-traveled (or per-minute traveled) basis, but with many fewer miles/minutes traveled overall, total cumulative fatalities are down. That seems to be the case in these articles.
- microcolonel 6y agoAlso it's possible that local travel restrictions have shown that per-mile injury and fatality rates are biased by trip distance.
- Mirioron 6y agoThis sounds like it's in line with the theory of risk homeostasis or at least the Peltzmann effect.[0] The theory states that as people feel safer they will take riskier actions. In this case the roads are emptier so people feel that they can drive faster, which leads to more accidents. Note that the theory does not have much support, but there seems to be some kind of an effect like this. [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk_compensation https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk_compensation