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I bet part of this is a selection effect. The most prudent people are staying home as much as possible, so a higher proportion of the miles driven are by peopl

I bet part of this is a selection effect. The most prudent people are staying home as much as possible, so a higher proportion of the miles driven are by people with a predisposition to be reckless.

vannevar 6y ago
Yes, I would bet this accounts for the vast majority of the effect. Hard to test the theory, though. Maybe look at the driving records of the deceased, see whether the average number of past offenses was also higher.