There is also the potential issue that some of the hot spots are like that because they got seeded by multiple super spreading events. As in unlucky happenstan

There is also the potential issue that some of the hot spots are like that because they got seeded by multiple super spreading events. As in unlucky happenstance means three infected people in a tour group show up and infect two to three dozen people each over a weekend. You go from 3 to 100 cases in two days. R instead of being 2.5 jumped to 30! After a week just with normal spreading you have close to a 1000 people ill.