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Why not the fact that perhaps the virus found its way in more vulnerable populations, such as hospitals and nursing care homes (44% of the current deaths)? If
by lbeltrame 6y ago
Why not the fact that perhaps the virus found its way in more vulnerable populations, such as hospitals and nursing care homes (44% of the current deaths)?
If that happened, the population would be very largely skewed towards the most vulnerable (you usually don't go to ER or a hospital if you're healthy) and that would explain the uptick in deaths.
There's no other idea I can offer to explain why a disease with an estimated IFR between 0.5 and 0.9% would cause an order of magnitude more deaths.
- taeric 6y agoFor that 44% number, what data set are you using? I have been idly tracking the data here in WA. 90% of the deaths have been in 60+ years of age. Just ~30% percent of the cases. In that age range, the CFR is staggeringly high. I don't know the data for the numbers from nursing homes.