3 ms·

We know #2 is true for younger people, as the mortality rate is almost zero unless you're in a nursing home.

by redis_mlc 6y ago

op00to 6y ago
Please cite your data on the mortality rate.
- myk9001 6y ago
  According to Spanish government's estimates[1] based on their own seroprevalence study: For the age group < 10 yo, the estimated IFR is 0.002% For the age group 10 - 19 yo, the estimated IFR is 0.003% For the age group 20 - 49 yo, the estimated IFR is 0.002% For the age group 50 - 69 yo, the estimated IFR is 0.04% For the age group > 70 yo, the estimated IFR is 4.1% The study is considered to be well designed by Carl Bergstrom[2], for example. [1]: https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/alertasActual/nCov-China/documentos/ITCoronavirus.pdf https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/a... Look for the table on page 15. [2]: https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1261041466882678784 https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1261041466882678784
  - taeric 6y ago
    It also matches the CFR you can calculate from the Seattle Times. (Don't know if we have a good handle on IFR, but I can go off published data for CFR, right?)
- redis_mlc 6y ago
  op00to: I'm curious. What I said is well-known. Were you trolling, ignorant of current news, or what exactly?
myk9001 6y ago
Don't know why you're being downvoted. According to Spanish government's estimates[1] based on their own seroprevalence study: For the age group under 50, the estimated IFR is about 0.003% For the age group 50 - 69 yo, it's 0.04% And for those over 70, it's 4.1% The study is considered to be well designed by Carl Bergstrom[2], for example. [1]: https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/alertasActual/nCov-China/documentos/ITCoronavirus.pdf https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/a... Look for the table on page 15. [2]: https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1261041466882678784 https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1261041466882678784

We know #2 is true for younger people, as the mortality rate is almost zero unless you're in a nursing home.

op00to 6y ago

Please cite your data on the mortality rate.

myk9001 6y ago
According to Spanish government's estimates[1] based on their own seroprevalence study: For the age group < 10 yo, the estimated IFR is 0.002% For the age group 10 - 19 yo, the estimated IFR is 0.003% For the age group 20 - 49 yo, the estimated IFR is 0.002% For the age group 50 - 69 yo, the estimated IFR is 0.04% For the age group > 70 yo, the estimated IFR is 4.1% The study is considered to be well designed by Carl Bergstrom[2], for example. [1]: https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/alertasActual/nCov-China/documentos/ITCoronavirus.pdf https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/a... Look for the table on page 15. [2]: https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1261041466882678784 https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1261041466882678784
- taeric 6y ago
  It also matches the CFR you can calculate from the Seattle Times. (Don't know if we have a good handle on IFR, but I can go off published data for CFR, right?)
redis_mlc 6y ago
op00to: I'm curious. What I said is well-known. Were you trolling, ignorant of current news, or what exactly?

myk9001 6y ago

Don't know why you're being downvoted. According to Spanish government's estimates[1] based on their own seroprevalence study: For the age group under 50, the estimated IFR is about 0.003% For the age group 50 - 69 yo, it's 0.04% And for those over 70, it's 4.1% The study is considered to be well designed by Carl Bergstrom[2], for example. [1]: https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/alertasActual/nCov-China/documentos/ITCoronavirus.pdf https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/a... Look for the table on page 15. [2]: https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1261041466882678784 https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1261041466882678784