3 ms·
Is there any evidence that there has been excess deaths for NHS staff and that this has been caused by a lack of PPE? There is this study (https://www.hsj.co.u
by benmmurphy 6y ago
Is there any evidence that there has been excess deaths for NHS staff and that this has been caused by a lack of PPE?
There is this study (https://www.hsj.co.uk/exclusive-deaths-of-nhs-staff-from-covid-19-analysed/7027471.article https://www.hsj.co.uk/exclusive-deaths-of-nhs-staff-from-cov...) that suggests deaths are amongst NHS staff are not over-represented.
There is also a remarkable correlation between the cumulative UK deaths from covid-19 in the UK population and among health and social care workers. Accepting a lag of one to two days, the ratio is very close to 1:200 so the deaths among health and social care workers are approximately 0.5 per cent of all deaths, suggesting they are not overrepresented.
That is the only study I could find that tried to look at excess deaths for NHS staff. I think their suggestion that deaths are not overrepresented is not backed by their data because it doesn't look like they are adjusting for difference in base mortality rates between NHS workers and the general population. However, considering how people are claiming lack of PPE is killing NHS staff you would think someone would have checked by now whether NHS staff are actually dying at a higher rate!
When NHS deaths were around ~80 I ran my own model adjusting by age and found 10 excess deaths. However, the way I interpolated the deaths in the population to NHS age bands was very dirty and I didn't adjust for sex and race. The NHS has BAME groups overrepresented in their work force and these groups have higher mortality rates.