> If it was happening in the next century we would at least have some idea Just like at the beginning of the 20th century we knew ~0 about quantum physics and

> If it was happening in the next century we would at least have some idea Just like at the beginning of the 20th century we knew ~0 about quantum physics and less than 50 years later A-bombs were getting dropped. Or how, at the same time no plane could achieve sustained/controlled flight (and the goal was merely to stay above ground) and less than 70 years later not only were we leaving Earth's atmosphere: a man was walking on the moon. We have no idea how long it will take to achieve AGI, let's leave it at that.