4 ms·
Musk rarely gives estimates, but targets (used to motivate people, for instance, and to overcompensate any unexpected issue or mistake). I'm looking for his mo
by rcMgD2BwE72F 6y ago
Musk rarely gives estimates, but targets (used to motivate people, for instance, and to overcompensate any unexpected issue or mistake).
I'm looking for his most ambitious and oldest targets and so far, most of them have been reached/exceeded. The most important one being the 500,000 production vehicles run rate for 2020 and 35 GWh battery production for Gigafactory Nevaga. Multiplying that duration by 2 or 3 would bring us to 2027 or 2034... If you can find an even bigger and older target, please share so we can re-evaluate.
- eloff 6y agoHis track record on things like self driving is not even close to accurate. But that's to be expected, manufacturing is more engineering and self driving is more research. Engineering is easier to estimate (note, still not easy!)
- foobiekr 6y agoHis track record on the NUMMI plant wasn't very good either. Over-automation and many other issues.
- rcMgD2BwE72F 6y agoYet, they keep completing their overall objectives. Why do subsidiary goals like level of automation (remember the fluff bot failure [0]) matter? How could one learn and progress without trials and errors? [0] https://qz.com/1268647/elon-musk-says-a-fluff-bot-showed-him-the-folly-of-teslas-quest-for-a-fully-automated-car-factory/ https://qz.com/1268647/elon-musk-says-a-fluff-bot-showed-him...