Whether the Imperial code is good or bad doesn't actually matter: you can derive the headline numbers that motivated the lockdowns analytically, without any sim

Whether the Imperial code is good or bad doesn't actually matter: you can derive the headline numbers that motivated the lockdowns analytically, without any simulation at all [1]. (The real problem with the worst case estimate is that it assumes people don't individually change their behavior in the face of a pandemic.) [1] https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1258879531022082049 https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1258879531022082049