5 ms·
Something I've been thinking about during lockdown is that, while we are for the most part staying at home when possible, if you get sick, you only have, maybe,
by pizza 6y ago
Something I've been thinking about during lockdown is that, while we are for the most part staying at home when possible, if you get sick, you only have, maybe, 4 or 5 contacts to trace, on average. If we release lockdown, the number of average contacts to trace goes way way up.
- w3mmpp 6y agoIf you lock people up in solitary confinement they won't catch it at all. See the problem with your logic here?
- ajmurmann 6y agoIf we did just that for three weeks all of this would be over.
- w3mmpp 6y agoToday for the coronavirus, tomorrow for what else?
- z3rgl1ng 6y agoThe coronavirus. Weren’t you paying attention? They said three weeks.
- trickstra 6y agoWould be nice if we printed some trillions to eradicate smoking. It would still save more lives than corona claimed - 8 million in 2017 https://ourworldindata.org/smoking#smoking-is-one-of-the-leading-risks-for-early-death https://ourworldindata.org/smoking#smoking-is-one-of-the-lea...
- defnotashton2 6y agoNoooo, it wouldn't be that simple. If it would be, we would all be able to eradicate several viruses..
- adrianmonk 6y agoThere is no problem with their logic. The number of contacts does indeed go up, which is all that they said.
- MiroF 6y agoI suspect that many of the people getting infected are not observing as strict of social distancing as you imagine. e: Why am I getting downvoted? Just conditioned on | getting infected by covid, means more likely to have had more contacts.
- cobbal 6y agoYou were downvoted because you stepped into a long-running and bitter ideological war: Bayesians vs frequentists.
- Reelin 6y agoWithout any actual data to hand I would also guess that infections would skew towards people who come into frequent contact with others as part of their job. If true, it would make taking precautions at, for example, the grocery store all the more important because those most likely to be infected are also those who you're most likely to come into contact with in turn.
- tsomctl 6y agoRight you are. Learn from my mistake. Wear a mask and practice social distancing.
- deleted 6y ago[deleted]