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Sweden begs to differ with this statement as the as the misleading headline article from the NY times shows that their numbers aren't meaningfully different tha
by elmerfud 6y ago
Sweden begs to differ with this statement as the as the misleading headline article from the NY times shows that their numbers aren't meaningfully different than other European countries which did lockdown. UK which has a lockdown policy was quite a bit higher.
CDC own numbers on this aren't really supporting the panic level either.
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm
Pneumonia is still stomping covid19 as far as deaths. Death projections are made from the 2017-2019 data and as of now they're at 101% of their protections. That number moves up and down but has been sticking really close to 100%. With 60+k unexpected covid19 we should be around 105-107% deaths but we're not.
Things aren't over yet but all the be data coming out is very much supporting that is has been a massive overreaction. If we're going to overreact for the purpose of saving lives, why don't we don't we do it to solve the 9.1 million deaths from hunger and hunger related issues?
- CydeWeys 6y agoSweden is a lot more locked down than you seem to think it is, and they are experiencing the same bad economic effects: https://www.ft.com/content/93105160-dcb4-4721-9e58-a7b262cd4b6e https://www.ft.com/content/93105160-dcb4-4721-9e58-a7b262cd4... The main difference is that they have a lot more deaths relative to many other countries that handled social distancing better.
- mopsi 6y ago> UK which has a lockdown policy was quite a bit higher. No, the UK was following in Sweden's footsteps until forecasts became untenable, by which time a lot of damage had been already done: https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/03/16/905285/uk-dropping-coronavirus-herd-immunity-strategy-250000-dead/ https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/03/16/905285/uk-droppi... Compared to its neighbours, Sweden is doing remarkably bad: https://twitter.com/MarkkuPeltonen/status/1261138454236352518 https://twitter.com/MarkkuPeltonen/status/126113845423635251... In terms of economy, Sweden's GDP is expected to fall about as much as rest of the EU (~7%).
- elmerfud 6y agohttps://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/05/15/world/europe/sweden-coronavirus-deaths.html https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/05/15/world/europe/... UK was just one example. Sweden is no worse off that other European countries. You can cherry pick the neighbors but that's doing a disservice. Of course their GDP is expected to fall. All of the countries are tightly linked together in their economic outcomes.
- ericb 6y agoSweden and Norway were "tied" a little while ago. Not so much, now.