4 ms·
If I'm reading it right, they report an IFR from 0.49% to 0.81% (95% credible interval). Ballpark population of England is 50 million. Herd immunity at ~70% mea
by sathomasga 6y ago
If I'm reading it right, they report an IFR from 0.49% to 0.81% (95% credible interval). Ballpark population of England is 50 million. Herd immunity at ~70% means over 200,000 deaths at median IFR of 0.63%. Extrapolating to US population of ~350 million is around 1.5 million deaths.