4 ms·
Their normal death rate is ~1%, right? Are we sure that there would be little to no overlap between these groups and they'd end up with a death rate of 1.25%?
by luckylion 7y ago
Their normal death rate is ~1%, right? Are we sure that there would be little to no overlap between these groups and they'd end up with a death rate of 1.25%?
- gwd 7y agoThere's a ton of information to poke around at the link; but here's their [EDIT] median estimated IFR by age range: 15-24: 0.0032% 25-44: 0.018% 45-64: 0.28% 65-74: 1.8% 75+: 16% The last one looks similar to the measured death rates by age group in Germany -- i.e., the COVID-19 deaths of 80+ in Germany divided by people tested positive in Germany was around 18% when I looked before, IIRC. So nearly the entirety of the "1-3% fatality" comes from the fact that it's so incredibly deadly to the elderly.
- swebs 7y agoThe overall death rate for 2020 will probably be even below 1%. The old will still die, but the young are no longer driving, smoking, etc and social distancing is preventing other diseases like the flu.
- deleted 7y ago[deleted]