Like most questions, the answer will get more complex the closer you look. But we're doing the "science" thing: collecting more data, and narrowing the error b

Like most questions, the answer will get more complex the closer you look. But we're doing the "science" thing: collecting more data, and narrowing the error bars. Past a point, you know enough that more accuracy won't change your action choices. That's a good enough answer for me. Here are some recent analyses: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.03.20089854v1 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.03.20089854v... https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.00495 https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.00495 https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3590771 https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3590771