3 ms·
If the American government believed that TSMC facilities in America would meet America's demand for silicon, then wouldn't America lose that incentive to ensure
by catalogia 6y ago
If the American government believed that TSMC facilities in America would meet America's demand for silicon, then wouldn't America lose that incentive to ensure Taiwan wasn't steamrolled by China? Supposing such a war did take place, TSMC might be unable to continue operating in Taiwan but still able to operate in some capacity in America. Would TSMC scrap the fabs in America just to spite the American government for the betrayal of Taiwan? That doesn't seem likely to me.
I don't doubt that the Taiwanese president is smart, which is why I doubt this story.
- transpute 6y ago> wouldn't America lose that incentive to ensure Taiwan wasn't steamrolled by China No, the opposite. Real trade enables balanced long-term interdependency, growth and innovation, unlike "free" trade focused on extraction and asymmetrical flows. The most valuable assets brought to the table by Taiwan and the USA are culture and these are complementary in the long term.
- kick 6y agoBecause the US is so famously focused on the long-term and would totally protect a country from getting wiped out because of "shared culture." Taiwan needs all the leverage it can get, and giving the US the gift of no longer needing it would be the dumbest thing TSMC could do in the long and short term.
- transpute 6y agoNot shared culture, complementary culture. A real partnership can create more leverage, not less, instead of holding one card until it is overtaken by events.