4 ms·

There's no way they are that stupid. TSMC alone has the power to shut down a huge number of electronics companies in both China and the US. Remember the HDD cri

There's no way they are that stupid. TSMC alone has the power to shut down a huge number of electronics companies in both China and the US. Remember the HDD crisis? Anything happening to TSMC would dwarf that. Nope, Taiwan is not giving up their biggest playing card. That would amount to suicide.

ohazi 6y ago
I don't think anyone would be stupid enough to trust promises from a US administration right now, but I can potentially imagine a (far?) future scenario where Taiwan agrees to build fabs in the US in exchange for official "Taiwan is a separate country and definitely not part of China" recognition from the US. A lot of stars would have to align though, and even then it would be a pretty big risk for Taiwan and possibly still not worth it.
- google234123 6y ago
  BTW, daily reminder that Taiwan is a separate country and definitely not part of China. :)
  - indemnity 6y ago
    One might say that the Taiwanese government is the one that should be in power on the mainland as well :)
    - google234123 6y ago
      I won't say that
    - ngcc_hk 6y ago
      A law is in the pipeline (first reading in Taiwan) to remove that claim. I call it one-china law. Taiwan Finally recognise china as the Sovereignty of the mainland. Total cut off. The china strangely you may think object. It is like British is passing a law finally to give up USA and USA object. But china do. And they know once cut off the USA can recognise Taiwan, unlike in the past it is a bit of conflict. What is Taiwan - oh the whole china. Now what is Taiwan? An island ruled by an independent state from at least 1949 (or legally from 1911 one should say). It even has a us-Taiwan act link even after 1979s. It is good timing to try this move. But before that ...And hence all civilian infra is moving out from china by their allies and USA may have to think about getting key assets duplicate from Taiwan. No one Outside china want war. But you have to prepare for it and avoid a total disruption of you own country and life. Chip is strategic. And the skill set not just the tools. Higher post same idea as my previous post. Taiwan need a deal as USA cannot be trusted in international conflict. It is ok for Korea and Japan perhaps, but would USA gave up Taiwan when the first USA soldier died. We are talking about a country that has nuclear bomb and the means to bomb USA mainland. Some deal needed.
      - Aloha 6y ago
        I'm not even sure China wants war, but they need a way to relinquish claims on Taiwan without losing face, or relinquishing their claims to the south china sea - nor frankly do I think that invasion of Taiwan is likely, China has not had a military action in 50 years effectively, I dont see one as likely now.

ohazi 6y ago

I don't think anyone would be stupid enough to trust promises from a US administration right now, but I can potentially imagine a (far?) future scenario where Taiwan agrees to build fabs in the US in exchange for official "Taiwan is a separate country and definitely not part of China" recognition from the US. A lot of stars would have to align though, and even then it would be a pretty big risk for Taiwan and possibly still not worth it.

google234123 6y ago
BTW, daily reminder that Taiwan is a separate country and definitely not part of China. :)
- indemnity 6y ago
  One might say that the Taiwanese government is the one that should be in power on the mainland as well :)
  - google234123 6y ago
    I won't say that
  - ngcc_hk 6y ago
    A law is in the pipeline (first reading in Taiwan) to remove that claim. I call it one-china law. Taiwan Finally recognise china as the Sovereignty of the mainland. Total cut off. The china strangely you may think object. It is like British is passing a law finally to give up USA and USA object. But china do. And they know once cut off the USA can recognise Taiwan, unlike in the past it is a bit of conflict. What is Taiwan - oh the whole china. Now what is Taiwan? An island ruled by an independent state from at least 1949 (or legally from 1911 one should say). It even has a us-Taiwan act link even after 1979s. It is good timing to try this move. But before that ...And hence all civilian infra is moving out from china by their allies and USA may have to think about getting key assets duplicate from Taiwan. No one Outside china want war. But you have to prepare for it and avoid a total disruption of you own country and life. Chip is strategic. And the skill set not just the tools. Higher post same idea as my previous post. Taiwan need a deal as USA cannot be trusted in international conflict. It is ok for Korea and Japan perhaps, but would USA gave up Taiwan when the first USA soldier died. We are talking about a country that has nuclear bomb and the means to bomb USA mainland. Some deal needed.
    - Aloha 6y ago
      I'm not even sure China wants war, but they need a way to relinquish claims on Taiwan without losing face, or relinquishing their claims to the south china sea - nor frankly do I think that invasion of Taiwan is likely, China has not had a military action in 50 years effectively, I dont see one as likely now.