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I think you would be surprised. Somehow we've ended up with privately owned and founded rocket companies, which are higher entry in cost than airplanes. Just b

by zpeti 6y ago

I think you would be surprised. Somehow we've ended up with privately owned and founded rocket companies, which are higher entry in cost than airplanes. Just because in the current situation we can't imagine it being different doesn't mean there wouldn't be possibilities if it wasn't so government focused. I think a much bigger risk is that fact that I doubt many people will confidently fly like they did before for the next 10 years. I think airline travel will dramatically decline.

badpun 6y ago
> I think you would be surprised. Somehow we've ended up with privately owned and founded rocket companies, which are higher entry in cost than airplanes. Are they? How much regulation there is for cargo-carrying rockets vs passenger airplanes?
cranekam 6y ago
> Somehow we've ended up with privately owned and founded rocket companies, which are higher entry in cost than airplanes. Are you sure? There's a big difference between building single-purpose, unmanned rockets and commercial jets that carry hundreds of people, fly for 20 hours a day, and last two decades. According to Wikipedia Falcon development 9 cost $300-390 million [0]. The 787 program cost $32 billion [1]. Even the A320 neo, which is a refresh of the original A320, cost $1.3 billion [2]. [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falcon_9_v1.0 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falcon_9_v1.0 [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_787_Dreamliner#Market,_costs,_and_production_issues https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_787_Dreamliner#Market,_... [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Airbus_A320neo_family https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Airbus_A320neo_family
kanox 6y ago
> Somehow we've ended up with privately owned and founded rocket companies, which are higher entry in cost than airplanes. Quick browsing for airliner unit costs shows a B737 max starting from ~$100M which is more expensive than a Falcon 9. > I think a much bigger risk is that fact that I doubt many people will confidently fly like they did before for the next 10 years. I think airline travel will dramatically decline. This is the real problem, airline travel won't recover for many years.

by zpeti 6y ago

badpun 6y ago

> I think you would be surprised. Somehow we've ended up with privately owned and founded rocket companies, which are higher entry in cost than airplanes. Are they? How much regulation there is for cargo-carrying rockets vs passenger airplanes?

cranekam 6y ago

> Somehow we've ended up with privately owned and founded rocket companies, which are higher entry in cost than airplanes. Are you sure? There's a big difference between building single-purpose, unmanned rockets and commercial jets that carry hundreds of people, fly for 20 hours a day, and last two decades. According to Wikipedia Falcon development 9 cost $300-390 million [0]. The 787 program cost $32 billion [1]. Even the A320 neo, which is a refresh of the original A320, cost $1.3 billion [2]. [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falcon_9_v1.0 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falcon_9_v1.0 [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_787_Dreamliner#Market,_costs,_and_production_issues https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_787_Dreamliner#Market,_... [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Airbus_A320neo_family https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Airbus_A320neo_family

kanox 6y ago

> Somehow we've ended up with privately owned and founded rocket companies, which are higher entry in cost than airplanes. Quick browsing for airliner unit costs shows a B737 max starting from ~$100M which is more expensive than a Falcon 9. > I think a much bigger risk is that fact that I doubt many people will confidently fly like they did before for the next 10 years. I think airline travel will dramatically decline. This is the real problem, airline travel won't recover for many years.