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> Certainly SF has problems with property crime, homelessness, housing costs, and NIMBYs. But clearly people still love living here, as evidenced by the continu

by bhupy 6y ago

> Certainly SF has problems with property crime, homelessness, housing costs, and NIMBYs. But clearly people still love living here, as evidenced by the continual inflow of people to the city and the region. Articles like that this attempt to paint it as a wasteland feel completely out of touch with the actual reality of living here. San Francisco, objectively, has a net-outflow. This is not a normative statement. https://www.sfgate.com/expensive-san-francisco/article/bay-area-exodus-fleeing-moving-cost-census-13778557.php https://www.sfgate.com/expensive-san-francisco/article/bay-a...

GaryNumanVevo 6y ago
2500 people left over 8 years. While technically a net-outflow, it's statistically insignificant. The outflow for immigrants was around 80k.
- bhupy 6y ago
  The inflow for immigrants is attributed to the fact that SF is a gateway city, and doesn't really tell us much about SF's quality of life. > The discrepancy between international and domestic migration in the Bay Area can likely be explained by what economists call "gateway cities." These cities, often planted along the coast, serve as entry points for foreigners moving to the U.S. The immigrants will register in the gateway city, but often move to other parts of California or the country within months, according to Phuong Nguyen, a research specialist at the California Department of Finance. And while it might be statistically "insignificant" in the absolute, you have to look at how it compares to other cities to really understand how healthy that number is. A contrast: the net domestic migration of Sacramento County was +15,224. -2500 looks far less healthy next to that.
  - hellisothers 6y ago
    “Santa Clara and San Mateo counties grew by 46,048 and 16,727 people respectively, but they had negative net migration totals for domestic residents, at -99,374 and -20,960”. That’s way more than -2,500, maybe you should have written articles about those counties.
    - bhupy 6y ago
      1) I didn't write the article 2) If your argument is that Santa Clara and San Mateo counties are also bad (if not worse), I don't disagree...
necubi 6y ago
That's not what your article says? > The overall population of San Francisco County increased by 78,121 people between April 1, 2010 and July 1, 2018. Besides the annual thousands of deaths and births that occurred within that eight year span, the county had a total net migration of 52,066 people. They distinguish between domestic and international migration, but that's not relevant to whether SF has net inflow or outflow.
- bhupy 6y ago
  If you'd read the immediately following paragraph, you'll note that this distinction between domestic and international migration is extremely relevant to whether SF has net inflow or outflow. > The discrepancy between international and domestic migration in the Bay Area can likely be explained by what economists call "gateway cities." These cities, often planted along the coast, serve as entry points for foreigners moving to the U.S. The immigrants will register in the gateway city, but often move to other parts of California or the country within months, according to Phuong Nguyen, a research specialist at the California Department of Finance. Once you control for this variance, San Francisco, objectively, has a net outflow. That's the conclusion of the linked article, as well.
- GPUboy 6y ago
  As someone who lived between SF and LA for the last decade, most everyone wants to leave after they "make it." It's a minority, mostly naive newcomers who came from the suburbs like myself, who are enamored by it. It's understandable to be biased against admitting a mistake, most people are, but eventually most see objective reason.

by bhupy 6y ago

GaryNumanVevo 6y ago

2500 people left over 8 years. While technically a net-outflow, it's statistically insignificant. The outflow for immigrants was around 80k.

bhupy 6y ago
The inflow for immigrants is attributed to the fact that SF is a gateway city, and doesn't really tell us much about SF's quality of life. > The discrepancy between international and domestic migration in the Bay Area can likely be explained by what economists call "gateway cities." These cities, often planted along the coast, serve as entry points for foreigners moving to the U.S. The immigrants will register in the gateway city, but often move to other parts of California or the country within months, according to Phuong Nguyen, a research specialist at the California Department of Finance. And while it might be statistically "insignificant" in the absolute, you have to look at how it compares to other cities to really understand how healthy that number is. A contrast: the net domestic migration of Sacramento County was +15,224. -2500 looks far less healthy next to that.
- hellisothers 6y ago
  “Santa Clara and San Mateo counties grew by 46,048 and 16,727 people respectively, but they had negative net migration totals for domestic residents, at -99,374 and -20,960”. That’s way more than -2,500, maybe you should have written articles about those counties.
  - bhupy 6y ago
    1) I didn't write the article 2) If your argument is that Santa Clara and San Mateo counties are also bad (if not worse), I don't disagree...

necubi 6y ago

That's not what your article says? > The overall population of San Francisco County increased by 78,121 people between April 1, 2010 and July 1, 2018. Besides the annual thousands of deaths and births that occurred within that eight year span, the county had a total net migration of 52,066 people. They distinguish between domestic and international migration, but that's not relevant to whether SF has net inflow or outflow.

bhupy 6y ago
If you'd read the immediately following paragraph, you'll note that this distinction between domestic and international migration is extremely relevant to whether SF has net inflow or outflow. > The discrepancy between international and domestic migration in the Bay Area can likely be explained by what economists call "gateway cities." These cities, often planted along the coast, serve as entry points for foreigners moving to the U.S. The immigrants will register in the gateway city, but often move to other parts of California or the country within months, according to Phuong Nguyen, a research specialist at the California Department of Finance. Once you control for this variance, San Francisco, objectively, has a net outflow. That's the conclusion of the linked article, as well.
GPUboy 6y ago
As someone who lived between SF and LA for the last decade, most everyone wants to leave after they "make it." It's a minority, mostly naive newcomers who came from the suburbs like myself, who are enamored by it. It's understandable to be biased against admitting a mistake, most people are, but eventually most see objective reason.