2 ms·
> Add up all the counties in "SoCal" and you're looking at roughly 20 million people. The Bay area is what... ~4 million for SF/Alameda/Santa Clara? > the fac
by danans 7y ago
> Add up all the counties in "SoCal" and you're looking at roughly 20 million people. The Bay area is what... ~4 million for SF/Alameda/Santa Clara?
> the fact that we're going to have more cases and deaths is just a numbers game.
The rates are higher in LA/OC too, not just the absolute numbers.
The LA metro area population (which includes OC) has 13 million people. There are 36k confirmed infections. So the confirmed infection rate is .28%. There are 1600 deaths so far, so the death rate is .01%.
The Bay Area population is 7.75 million, the # of infections stands at 10k, which is confirmed infection rate of .13%, and deaths are 360, which is a death rate of .005%.
It's absolutely not a contest, but the rates are what they are. If you choose to expand either areas' stats out to include their neighboring counties, the differences in the rates don't change much, but will eventually converge with CA wide rates, since this disease is most prevalent in urban areas.
Both the Bay Area and LA/OC appear to have lower infection rates than many other urban parts of the country and world, but the Bay Area is currently seeing both a lower infection and death rate than Southern California. Only time will tell if that holds.
Stats from:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Los_Angeles_metropolitan_area https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Los_Angeles_metropolitan_area
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/San_Francisco_Bay_Area https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/San_Francisco_Bay_Area
https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html