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> For most of the country it's worked Do you have something that reinforces this? JHU dashboard data extrapolation (https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/us-map https://
by eganist 6y ago
> For most of the country it's worked
Do you have something that reinforces this? JHU dashboard data extrapolation (https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/us-map https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/us-map) and revised models (https://www.livescience.com/trump-administration-models-predict-doubling-deaths-early-june.html https://www.livescience.com/trump-administration-models-pred...) starkly disagree.
- NotSammyHagar 6y agoCheck out IHME, https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america. They currently estimate 145k but it swings as states open or close. If people mill about and it doesn't stop till we reach herd immunity, imagine at 50% of pop, 0.3 or 0.5% die, that's a big number 330mil * .05 * 0.005 = 825k deaths. IHME estimates assume we won't just keep standing around until half of us get it. The fools walking around are competing with that vision.
- panzagl 6y agoOk, did not realize national hadn't leveled out, so I take back 'most'. I feel like my state's (CO) re-opening response is appropriate but we've been relatively 'flat' for a couple weeks. Apparently we're also one of the few states that can afford a Tableau license, we've had a decent site https://covid19.colorado.gov/data/case-data https://covid19.colorado.gov/data/case-data since March.