2 ms·
Not sure how you define not out of proportion. Look at the FT or NYT international comparative excess death studies. Excess death is definitely in the top 3 an
by IkmoIkmo 6y ago
Not sure how you define not out of proportion.
Look at the FT or NYT international comparative excess death studies. Excess death is definitely in the top 3 and looks to be nr 1 in all of Europe's 30-50 countries.
And this is despite having one of the best positions as one of its richest, relatively few tourists per capita compared to many other countries like Spain, Italy, France, Germany, Netherlands etc, the vast majority of visitors arriving by air which was relatively easy and uncontroversial to shut down compared to shutting down land borders in Europe (particularly for landlocked countries).
And lastly, it was hit later than much of Europe let alone Asia, which is massively important. When you have early-outbreak doubling times of 2 days, getting hit 4 days later can mean a 4x difference in the infection/death numbers. It had absolutely no excuse, particularly compared to other countries, to erroneously downplay this pandemic.
Unfortunately whereas many other countries like Spain or Italy are seeing far fewer infection numbers than weeks ago, the UK is seeing just as many as weeks ago. It's slowly improving, but it's nowhere near the home-stretch as other countries are, yet it's relaxing conditions. Finally, it's not even testing as much as other countries, with tests at a rate of 29k per million, whereas Italy/Spain are at respectively 44k and 52k.
This has mismanagement written all over it. Indeed if I came across as implying the UK is 10x worse than everywhere else, no it's nowhere near that disproportional. But it clearly seems to have had one of the best starting positions and worst outcomes, and one of the furthest away from significant improvements.