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Testing and tracing doesnt change the fact that everyone will need to be exposed at some time. A vaccine isnt likely

• sanderjd 6y ago
  Oh I think I see your perspective now. Yes, if you don't believe a vaccine will be developed then I can see where you're skeptical of the end game of testing and tracing. But your certainty of the unlikelihood of a vaccine is far too strong far too early. There are on the order of ten to a hundred promising efforts toward developing a vaccine well under way. It may very well be that a year or two from now, each of those will have failed. If that is the case I will be open to hearing about how best to manage this indefinitely, and you may be right that testing and tracing won't help that much (but it still seems like we may want to control the order and rate at which people are exposed). But we're really far from having the evidence to support your claim with any certainty. We haven't run out of ideas for how to make a vaccine yet, we're just getting started.
  • geggam 6y ago
    Nature has a way of winning the long game. I fear vaccines overall will soon lose momentum much like antibiotics have. Both are really new medical technologies in the scope of life.