4 ms·
That's not how herd immunity works. If the bay area was close to herd immunity, you would see >NYC level death numbers from there.
by esoterica 6y ago
That's not how herd immunity works. If the bay area was close to herd immunity, you would see >NYC level death numbers from there.
- redis_mlc 6y agoNo, the Bay Area corona ramped up starting Dec., so you won't see NY-style weekly death rates. Let me put it this way. If you live in the Bay Area, you know people from Wuhan. We got a huge head start on the rest of America.
- esoterica 6y agoEnough people in NYC have died that you would see the excess mortalities very clearly even if you smeared them out over a few months. Also tests have shown that almost no people in the Bay Area were infected prior to mid-Feb and only a low single digit percentage had antibodies in Santa Clara county as of early April. https://med.stanford.edu/news/all-news/2020/04/testing-pooled-samples-to-track-early-spread-of-virus.html https://med.stanford.edu/news/all-news/2020/04/testing-poole... https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.14.20062463v2 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.14.20062463v... There is no evidence supporting your theory and plenty of strong evidence contradicting it. "Lots of people have Chinese friends and therefore everyone is already infected" is not a convincing line of argument.