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The Bay Area health officials have formed a cabal to move the entire region in concert. This has first meant the joint statement extending the lockdown to June
by babesh 6y ago
The Bay Area health officials have formed a cabal to move the entire region in concert. This has first meant the joint statement extending the lockdown to June 1st. My speculation is that this also means that the whole area moves at the same rate as the slowest county.
One Alameda County supervisor implies that perhaps he could have gotten them open by May 18th. I doubt that because the power to do so is not directly invested in the board but rather the county health officer. The health officer is acting in concert with the other counties health officers.
The leader of this group is the Santa Clara health officer, Sara Cody, who has been credited with architecting the lockdown. The officer has been very vague about opening the counties up to phase 2, saying that it will be frustratingly slow (a).
The officer points to insufficient testing and insufficient numbers of workers to contact trace (b). The officer said that they are weeks away from having enough workers to contact trace and that tests are only 20-25% towards the goal.
My issue with the tests are that they are voluntary. There is probably no way to meet that goal unless you force people to test. You can tell by the number of tests in each county. It isn't really going up very fast (c). At present rate, you are talking about several months. The issue doesn't seem to be insufficient tests. It seems to be mostly that people aren't going in to get tested since the positivity rate is actually going down.
I also think that the health officers want to work in concert since one county moving faster than the others will create pressure on the other counties to move at that rate. There is already such pressure since the rest of the state is already moving faster.
A good percentage of the Bay Area is insulated from the effects of the lockdown since many can work from home. The big tech companies have been relatively unaffected by covid-19. Government employees are still being paid. However a good percentage are not insulated by the effects of the lockdown (although it has partly opened up).
So based on the above, I expect the shit to hit the fan.
(a) https://www.sfgate.com/news/editorspicks/article/Sara-Cody-Bay-Area-shelter-place-reopen-order-safe-15262194.php https://www.sfgate.com/news/editorspicks/article/Sara-Cody-B...
(b)
https://www.sfgate.com/news/editorspicks/article/Bay-Area-reopen-shelter-place-why-COVID-19-SF-news-15254094.php https://www.sfgate.com/news/editorspicks/article/Bay-Area-re...
(c)
https://www.sccgov.org/sites/covid19/Pages/dashboard.aspx#cases https://www.sccgov.org/sites/covid19/Pages/dashboard.aspx#ca...
- MiroF 6y ago> The issue doesn't seem to be insufficient tests. It seems to be mostly that people aren't going in to get tested since the positivity rate is actually going down. I don't think this is true, at all. Would love to see a source that testing right now is constrained by people unwilling to get tested and not by capacity to test.
- btilly 6y agoHere is an anecdote. My ex works at an urgent care clinic where they literally put a big banner up saying that they do COVID-19 tests. They have not run out of tests. This strongly suggests that in Orange County, CA, the bottleneck is not enough people asking for tests.
- pstuart 6y ago> the bottleneck is not enough people asking for tests the bottleneck is not enough people with adequate health insurance asking for tests
- reaperducer 6y agoPretty much every health insurance plan in the country covers COVID-19 tests for free. Some states even require it.
- pstuart 6y agoMillions of Americans do not have health insurance.
- Natsu 6y agoI thought they passed a law saying insurances had to cover this test? In my case, I couldn't get a test despite my wife getting one. I guess they only wanted me to test if she tested positive. Thankfully the test was negative.
- rbritton 6y ago