>We can eradicate like New Zealand did. Respectfully, I do not agree. New Zealand went on lockdown March 23 when they jumped overnight from 66 to 102 confirmed

>We can eradicate like New Zealand did. Respectfully, I do not agree. New Zealand went on lockdown March 23 when they jumped overnight from 66 to 102 confirmed cases. They have 1144 as of yesterday. There are now 1.3 million cases in the U.S., almost that many in Western Europe. There are not even enough tests to know the real number. Antibody tests are indicating that a couple tens of millions of people may have already been exposed. I know of no precedent for using quarantines to eradicating a disease that is already so widespread. There is no evidence that such a thing is possible. It would have been at some point in the past, when there were some hundreds of known cases, but not any more. What to do from this moment forward? Did you mean to imply that you thought we could stay locked down until this is eradicated? I wonder if there are models that can give us covid predictions based on continuing the existing lockdowns versus easing of lockdowns, with a vaccine in 12 months versus a vaccine in 4 years, and estimated economic and social costs of lockdowns. I don't think it's responsible to make these big decisions without objectively weighing all the data, and the data is fuzzy, refined over time. (Although I am pleased at how much data is publicly available.)