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Given that the UW model chronically underestimates the US death toll, can you explain the reasoning behind "we shouldn't trust the model, but also we should sti
by joshuamorton 7y ago
Given that the UW model chronically underestimates the US death toll, can you explain the reasoning behind "we shouldn't trust the model, but also we should still reopen"?
- WalterBright 7y agoJust because it's junk science doesn't mean I have better scientific analyses at my disposal.
- thu2111 7y agoThe UW model can't be said to estimate or underestimate anything at all - it's just curve fitting and is being constantly updated because the moment they issue an update, it's immediately out of line with reality. And not just out of line but outside the uncertainty bounds too. There's a review of the performance of the model and its updates here: https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/coronavirus-pandemic-projection-models-proving-unreliable/ https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/coronavirus-pandemic-p...