Sure. Getting R below 1.0 will, over time, lead to eradication. Infection rates have/had already fallen by about 85% from the peak in about 30 days, or one mont

Sure. Getting R below 1.0 will, over time, lead to eradication. Infection rates have/had already fallen by about 85% from the peak in about 30 days, or one month. Plug it in: 6000 (peak daily infections) * (1 - 0.85)^Months, and you’d get to <1 daily infections within five months. And, of course, having already reduced cases by 85% makes tracing the remaining cases far easier. That, plus improvements in understanding the dynamics of the virus and all the countermeasures, now allows for a “budget” so-to-speak, to be spent on some loosening of restrictions and adding whatever is necessary to keep re-introductions at bay.