4 ms·
The trouble is, this isn't even remotely close to feasible. In order to find a useful proportion of cases via testing, you need to test pretty much everybody wi
by makomk 6y ago
The trouble is, this isn't even remotely close to feasible. In order to find a useful proportion of cases via testing, you need to test pretty much everybody with cold-like or disease-like symptoms or maybe even just pretty much everybody, and contact tracing only helps if you have some other way to find most of the active cases in order to trace their contacts. That's why experts in publications like the New York Times keep insisting that the US needs to test people on a scale orders of magnitude larger than any other country has managed, including the ones that are starting to reopen.
(Readers don't realize what a big ask this is because the articles carefully don't mention this - most people are left with the false impression that it's just doing what other countries have already managed, and that the only reason the US isn't doing this is because the leadership is incompetent or even deliberately covering up the number of cases.)
- Marsymars 6y ago> The trouble is, this isn't even remotely close to feasible. In order to find a useful proportion of cases via testing, you need to test pretty much everybody with cold-like or disease-like symptoms I was surprised how at quickly my local health authority got to this point. A couple months ago, they had flat-out stated that it would be impossible for the foreseeable future, but cold/flu symptoms have decreased over a regular year by an order of magnitude, they expanded testing to everyone with any symptoms a couple weeks ago, and even with carpet bombing contacts in outbreak locations they're still only running testing at about half capacity.