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I do think a vaccine will be made available and likely sooner than anyone is predicting, but it will not be mandatory and if states or employers try to make it
by rpiguy 6y ago
I do think a vaccine will be made available and likely sooner than anyone is predicting, but it will not be mandatory and if states or employers try to make it mandatory they will held up in lawsuits for years.
I could see a future where, like the flu vaccine, everyone is encouraged to get a SARS COV2 vaccine and there will be reasonable compliance.
Hospital systems were only really crushed in there places, Lombardi, NYC, and Spain. Only in Lombardi Italy did hospitals actually run out of beds (go over capacity). Even in London today the hospitals are under capacity. I am not saying this is a good yard stick to go by, I am pointing out that outside of three locations most hospitals are sitting virtually empty. Therefore it is unlikely health systems would be crushed.
As far as millions would die, again I would say look to the mortality rates outside of the three outlier areas (Lombardi, Spain, and NYC) and the mortality is far below 1%. I can see a future where COVID kills as many people as the flu. I don't see a future with a crushing mortality rate.
Viruses rarely disappear entirely, but the mortality rate is not high enough to be so afraid of it. It spreads fast, but not as fast as measles, whooping cough, or TB, which spread faster, kill more people, and also kill children. We try to eradicate those diseases for a reason. Covid is nowhere near their level. If we set the bar this low, we will be stopping the world economy every decade to fight viruses that bubble up and kill comparatively few people.