4 ms·

It will happen again, we knew something like this will happen, isolating China is maybe a solution for some politicians to get some points. Ideally we learn th

It will happen again, we knew something like this will happen, isolating China is maybe a solution for some politicians to get some points. Ideally we learn this time and everyone will be prepared with masks, we somehow fix the anti-vacine movement, implement contact tracing etc. Sure in parallel we should see if and who is guilty of what , but this should be a side thing and not the main focus.

jfoster 7y ago
If the past 100 years are anything to go by, on average, it ought to happen about once every 25 years; 1918, 1957, 1968, 2020. More often than that if you start thinking about how close to being one of those SARS and MERS were. I think there were a few interesting factors this time around: 1. Better communication: In the previous cases, there was no internet. Communication even between doctors would have happened via governments, international media, or international conferences. 2. Increased travel: The globalisation of the virus was certainly a bit faster than it otherwise would have been due to the greater level of international travel that (until covid) had been the status quo. 3. Politics: It seems as though health issues, whether to wear masks, whether the virus is "real", how businesses should respond, and so on have become divided along political lines. I'm not sure whether this happened in 1918, 1957 and 1968, but I am guessing it didn't happen to the same degree. Will we be better prepared next time? Ideally yes, but I'm not sure that it's a certainty.
rootusrootus 7y ago
> It will happen again Of course it will. For several reasons, not the least of which is that China turned back on the wildlife wet markets already. Just like they did after SARS. We should encourage them to modernize their food supply so this is not necessary.
- simion314 7y ago
  About the food supply, I would focus on modernizing every country not only China, don't lose the focus of the problem by focusing in the US current preferred target. I can tell you that we still have epidemics that affect pigs here in Romania and markets get to be closed, and infected and uninfected pigs from people households get kiolled in panic(happened this year in my region).

jfoster 7y ago

If the past 100 years are anything to go by, on average, it ought to happen about once every 25 years; 1918, 1957, 1968, 2020. More often than that if you start thinking about how close to being one of those SARS and MERS were. I think there were a few interesting factors this time around: 1. Better communication: In the previous cases, there was no internet. Communication even between doctors would have happened via governments, international media, or international conferences. 2. Increased travel: The globalisation of the virus was certainly a bit faster than it otherwise would have been due to the greater level of international travel that (until covid) had been the status quo. 3. Politics: It seems as though health issues, whether to wear masks, whether the virus is "real", how businesses should respond, and so on have become divided along political lines. I'm not sure whether this happened in 1918, 1957 and 1968, but I am guessing it didn't happen to the same degree. Will we be better prepared next time? Ideally yes, but I'm not sure that it's a certainty.

rootusrootus 7y ago

> It will happen again Of course it will. For several reasons, not the least of which is that China turned back on the wildlife wet markets already. Just like they did after SARS. We should encourage them to modernize their food supply so this is not necessary.

simion314 7y ago
About the food supply, I would focus on modernizing every country not only China, don't lose the focus of the problem by focusing in the US current preferred target. I can tell you that we still have epidemics that affect pigs here in Romania and markets get to be closed, and infected and uninfected pigs from people households get kiolled in panic(happened this year in my region).