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May I suggest you read the IPCC report? 2100 with business as usual scenarios looks like at least one billion humans with an urgent need to relocate. If you hav
by polotics 6y ago
May I suggest you read the IPCC report? 2100 with business as usual scenarios looks like at least one billion humans with an urgent need to relocate. If you have a better model please show your work.
- SamReidHughes 6y agoI was referring to either this one: https://www.nber.org/papers/w26167 https://www.nber.org/papers/w26167 or some other with similar scale of estimates, using what I presume to be mainstream predictions of temperature growth. Edit: Also, you can easily tell without looking that the idea billions would have to relocate is a complete joke. The reason is, let’s suppose global warming makes a region unfarmable. Well, even if it were farmable, automation in the 3rd world will move people out of farming anyway. So they’d have to be doing other work, trading for food, no matter what happens.
- catawbasam 6y agoWe are not on the business as usual path any more, so that isn't the most relevant scenario.