3 ms·
> No one's saying it's not bad. At least I'm not. It's just a lot less bad than what we were told 3 months ago. Yet very few seem willing to admit that, because
by javagram 6y ago
> No one's saying it's not bad. At least I'm not. It's just a lot less bad than what we were told 3 months ago. Yet very few seem willing to admit that, because (I'm guessing) they think it might mean losing some amount of fear based leverage or control. Or don't want to give people false confidence to disregard rules. Or whatever the motivation.
“3 months ago” was February 8 so not sure what you think was being said at that point.
1.75-2 months ago, when social distancing measures actually began and the whole #FlattenTheCurve started, the White House announced that they had a model that with all the #FlattenTheCurve measures in place, they expected between 100,000 and 200,000 to die of the virus by August 1st. https://apnews.com/6ed70e9db88b80439a087fdad8238009 https://apnews.com/6ed70e9db88b80439a087fdad8238009
So far 75,000 have died, with two and a half months to go and over a 1,000 dying every day still. It seems like the original prediction of over 100K by august 1st with full preventative measures is well on the way to being hit.
What are you talking about when you say it’s less bad than what we were told 3 months ago? What do you think you were told?
- beerandt 6y agoNot deaths. Healthcare system & infrastructure capacity vs demand. The whole point of "flattening the curve." Predictions were being made before the first confirmed cases in the US, but we were still in containment mode vs suppression. The China travel ban, for example, was implemented by Feb 1st, from quick glance. (Edit: made Jan 31 & took effect Feb 2) We were worried about overwhelming the healthcare system. But it's dying from lack of patients.