4 ms·
> Dr. John Ioannidis released the result of his Serology Study in California: That study showed that the seroprevalance in Santa Clara was less than 2%. That d
by esoterica 6y ago
> Dr. John Ioannidis released the result of his Serology Study in California:
That study showed that the seroprevalance in Santa Clara was less than 2%. That directly contradicts your earlier suggestion that 20% of the country was infected.
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/04/19/fatal-flaws-in-stanford-study-of-coronavirus-prevalence/ https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/04/19/fatal-flaw...
The seroprevalence number was also approximately the same size as the confidence interval on the false positive rate of the antibody test they were using, which means the confidence interval for the denominator of the fatality rate goes all the way down to zero, i.e. the fatality rate estimates are complete garbage.
> NYC's numbers could be due to population density (amount of exposure can increase severity in some viruses, including SARS-CoV-2)
Other death hotspots include New Orleans, Detroit, rural Georgia, etc. none of which have high population density.