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> What do you expect, the bat sign at the front door? I expect any evidence whatsoever. One piece. > you couldn't even find their facility on map I correctly
by DiogenesKynikos 7y ago
> What do you expect, the bat sign at the front door?
I expect any evidence whatsoever. One piece.
> you couldn't even find their facility on map
I correctly pointed out that the WHCDC is located 3 km away.
> you couldn't figure out that they are doing research on bats
I still haven't seen any evidence that any WHCDC lab keeps bats, much less that they keep bats at a small satellite office away from the main campus. The papers on sample collection state that samples are brought back to the Wuhan Institute of Virology.
> they have a major bat researcher on their staff, who co-authored papers along with Shi Zhengli.
He collects samples in the countryside. That isn't evidence that he's keeping live bats 300 m from the seafood market. The fact that he's co-authoring papers with Shi Zhengli actually suggests that the samples are going to the WIV, which would make perfect sense. From everything I've seen, they're the ones that store samples of bat coronaviruses.
> What's the "shock value" in that?
Because it plays into American anti-Communist hysteria, a very powerful force going back to the McCarthy era in the 1950s.
> All government in Mainland China is subordinate to the CCP and its political philosophy.
Which is what? Honestly, do you think that even 1% of the people who have suddenly, in the last month or so, started going on about the CCP can even name one member of the Politburo, other than Xi Xinping? What percentage of these people know who Deng Xiaoping or Zhou Enlai was? I think people are just using this phrase because it sounds ominous ("the Communists are coming!").
> Sure, but it only was discovered after it had already spread for a while in both countries
When H1N1 was discovered, it was still geographically isolated to part of Mexico and the Southwestern US. It took a month for the first confirmed cases to pop up in Europe. Chinese labs only discovered the existence of SARS-CoV-2 in late December, by which point the virus had already been circulating for at least a month, and was possibly already spreading internationally (see the claimed French case).
> the CCP had a golden opportunity to inform the community and quell the spread early.
Again with the "CCP." What specific actions should have been taken by which specific Party organs in order to contain the outbreak at the source? I'm interested in your detailed knowledge of how the Party organs function.
> Instead, it chose to destroy evidence and silence whistle blowers.
It alerted the WHO the day after doctors first posted information about cases to social media. Two things can be true at once: local authorities cracked down on doctors for what they considered rumor mongering, and they also sent an official notification to the WHO.
As for "destroyed information," I can guess what you're alluding to, but I think you're going out on a limb. The reports were that once they discovered that patient samples contained a SARS-like coronavirus, the government ordered low-security labs to either transfer their samples to high-security labs or to destroy them. They also quickly shared the genome with the international scientific community, which doesn't align with your depiction of their behavior.
> If the government didn't suppress information, people could've taken measures for themselves.
The government alerted the public on 31 December, which is before the doctors were ordered to stop posting to social media. I think the local government downplayed its seriousness in mid-January, out of fear of the economic consequences. That appears to have ended once Zhong Nanshan visited Wuhan. Then the hammer came down.
> How exactly?
This is what the quarantine centers looked like: [1][2]. That's where people with mild cases were sent. Describing that as "open-floor internment centers where people had no protection" strikes me as inaccurate and really just an attempt at demonization. These are not luxurious conditions, but this is what a middle-income country was able to organize on short notice, with enormous effort. Central quarantines dramatically reduced the reproductive number of the virus. In other words, that effort saved the lives of many thousands of people.
> You don't know that they were effective, none of the numbers published are independently verifiable and they are statistically suspicious.
I'm not going to indulge the conspiracy theory that the virus is actually raging in Wuhan, that the numbers are all faked, etc. China is not a black box. The volume of information that comes out of China, transmitted by everyday people, makes it obvious that the epidemic was suppressed there months ago.
> Also, you can issue curfews without forcing people into internment camps - that probably made the situation worse, not better.
Centralized quarantine was very important. Many countries have locked down, but still have R ~ 1, because there is continued transmission within families. Dad gets it, then Mom a week later, then the kids a few days later, then grandma a week later. Centralized quarantine of the sick cuts a lot of those transmission chains. Coupled with universal symptom checks, centralized quarantine is very effective at reducing the reproductive number of the virus. That's how they got down to R ~ 0.3 in Wuhan. Other measures that they took, such as widespread delivery of groceries, so that people didn't have to go out, also helped. This is an area that you could actually talk about the Communist Party, as opposed to the government more generally, because much of this community-level effort was organized by Party organizations.
> The handling of the initial outbreak was unforgivable and the measures taken in Wuhan were human rights violations. In that sense, no they didn't handle it better, even if their questionable numbers are accurate.
I think the country whose leadership decided to sacrifice 70,000+ of its citizens' lives to the economy has no moral standing to criticize others' handling of the outbreak. The strongest condemnation one can make of the response in China, in my opinion, is the decision by the government in Wuhan to prioritize the economy over health during the week in mid-January in which they downplayed the scale of the outbreak. That has been the most salient aspect of the US government response, for months now. While China shut down hard, crushed the epidemic and opened up with minimal transmission, the US government is throwing in the towel, and the President is fine with people dying. The most important thing is that the Dow Jones goes up.
1. https://static01.nyt.com/images/2020/02/06/world/06china-briefing2sub/merlin_168458046_7c81452c-4df6-4b69-8636-1367aea71560-superJumbo.jpg?quality=90&auto=webp https://static01.nyt.com/images/2020/02/06/world/06china-bri...
2. https://static.timesofisrael.com/www/uploads/2020/02/AP20049181310953.jpg https://static.timesofisrael.com/www/uploads/2020/02/AP20049...
- gridlockd 7y ago> I expect any evidence whatsoever. As it is, you have no evidence one way or another, so it's neither proven nor disproven, nor is it officially denied. > I correctly pointed out that the WHCDC is located 3 km away. You incorrectly claimed that the WHCDC is not located at that spot. The WHCDC is an organization with several facilities in Wuhan, one being at that location. > I still haven't seen any evidence that any WHCDC lab keeps bats, much less that they keep bats at a small satellite office away from the main campus. The papers on sample collection state that samples are brought back to the Wuhan Institute of Virology. Here's the paper regarding the bats collected by the CDC: https://journals.plos.org/plospathogens/article?id=10.1371/journal.ppat.1003159 https://journals.plos.org/plospathogens/article?id=10.1371/j... They report that they collected bats, not samples from bats. You can tell that it must have been live bats, because surgery under anesthesia was performed on them. All of the authors have CDC-affiliation, none have affiliation with the Institute of Virology. > Because it plays into American anti-Communist hysteria, a very powerful force going back to the McCarthy era in the 1950s. I don't think so, especially considering that China is better at capitalism than the US these days. How else am I supposed to refer to the ruling party, when they are called the Communist Party of China? > What specific actions should have been taken by which specific Party organs in order to contain the outbreak at the source? I'm interested in your detailed knowledge of how the Party organs function. What difference does it make? Like I said, the government is subordinate to the party, not the other way around. > The reports were that once they discovered that patient samples contained a SARS-like coronavirus, the government ordered low-security labs to either transfer their samples to high-security labs or to destroy them. They also quickly shared the genome with the international scientific community, which doesn't align with your depiction of their behavior. "On 1 January 2020, a genetic sequencing company was notified by the Wuhan Municipal Health Committee that further sequencing of novel coronavirus samples were no longer allowed, existing samples must be destroyed and all data must be kept secret." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_COVID-19_pandemic_in_January_2020 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_COVID-19_pande... "Must be kept secret", in other words, covered up. It's true that that nine days later - a long time during an outbreak of a novel disease - the genome was posted online. That was only after the higher-ups at the CCP decided that a coverup was no longer feasible. > This is what the quarantine centers looked like: [1][2]. That's where people with mild cases were sent. Describing that as "open-floor internment centers where people had no protection" strikes me as inaccurate and really just an attempt at demonization. Your pictures show people in an open-floor facility, close to each other, with no protection. We know that these people were interned there against their will and by force, if necessary. Not just mild cases, suspected cases. So, what part exactly strikes you as "inaccurate"? > Coupled with universal symptom checks, centralized quarantine is very effective at reducing the reproductive number of the virus. That's how they got down to R ~ 0.3 in Wuhan. Of course, totalitarian measures were successful and the numbers, which are above suspicion, prove it. Pardon my sarcasm. > I think the country whose leadership decided to sacrifice 70,000+ of its citizens' lives to the economy has no moral standing to criticize others' handling of the outbreak. I'm not "the country". You're having a conversation with an individual. I can criticize anything I want, I don't need moral license. You're free to condemn the Trump administration's handling of the situation, but perhaps you should take into account that the US is a free country and the president has limited powers. I'm sure that with totalitarian measures, we could achieve an amazing R, a tremendous R, the best R in the world! It only would take Trump to become a dictator. Would that make you happy? > ...the President is fine with people dying. Every government is fine with people dying, even if it doesn't have a loudmouth president to actually say it. Many countries are easing their lockdowns now. Does that mean more people will die? Of course! It's a trade-off.