4 ms·

It's interesting to compare how the world reacted to AIDS which is still a pandemic. Before the hiv was understood in detail, policy responses were blunt or no

It's interesting to compare how the world reacted to AIDS which is still a pandemic. Before the hiv was understood in detail, policy responses were blunt or non-existent. Many kids including myself were taught to abstain from sex entirely, which of course is a policy which would work on paper but with which no one can comply in practice. Here in Texas our lockdown has has little effect on the viruses rate of transmission. I believe that's because like many southern states, we could never achieve good compliance. More realistic policies which take into account the fact that young people are at far less risk for the virus will likely win the day. We can better support and sustain quarantine if it's triaged for those at greatest risk. Instead it Looks like policymakers will just let go of trying to control this in the US, and many older people will die unnecessarily.

gwd 6y ago
> Here in Texas our lockdown has has little effect on the viruses rate of transmission. What makes you say that? (Genuine question, not a challenge.) This website shows the estimated Rt going from a peak of 2.08 down to below 1, before stabilizing at 1.06: https://www.covidactnow.org/us/tx https://www.covidactnow.org/us/tx 1.06 is still > 1 which is bad, but it's certainly a lot better than 2. EDIT: Rt, not R0
- alpineidyll3 6y ago
  Well, I was eyeballin' off a log-log plot, which is admittedly much less precise than your link. Even on that plot though R dips before we even officially shut down (Texas' cases were probably mostly imported from LA and elsewhere, and cut down by travel ending before we had an order in place) I'm also concerned that the law currently is at variance with the reality that the parks are full here in Austin. Instead of rushing to be open, I wish the government would tailor it's message to people who need it, and come up with 'clean' food/resource pathways for people who are vulnerable to this virus rather than trying to keep kids out of the water.

gwd 6y ago

> Here in Texas our lockdown has has little effect on the viruses rate of transmission. What makes you say that? (Genuine question, not a challenge.) This website shows the estimated Rt going from a peak of 2.08 down to below 1, before stabilizing at 1.06: https://www.covidactnow.org/us/tx https://www.covidactnow.org/us/tx 1.06 is still > 1 which is bad, but it's certainly a lot better than 2. EDIT: Rt, not R0

alpineidyll3 6y ago
Well, I was eyeballin' off a log-log plot, which is admittedly much less precise than your link. Even on that plot though R dips before we even officially shut down (Texas' cases were probably mostly imported from LA and elsewhere, and cut down by travel ending before we had an order in place) I'm also concerned that the law currently is at variance with the reality that the parks are full here in Austin. Instead of rushing to be open, I wish the government would tailor it's message to people who need it, and come up with 'clean' food/resource pathways for people who are vulnerable to this virus rather than trying to keep kids out of the water.